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Thursday, 30 April 2009
RISMEDIA, April 29, 2009-Data through February 2009, released by Standard & Poor’s for its S&P/Case-Shiller1 Home Price Indices, one of the leading measures of U.S. home prices, shows continued broad based declines in the prices of existing single family homes across the United States, with 10 of the 20 metro areas showing record rates of annual decline, and 15 reporting declines in excess of 10% versus February 2008. For the first time in 16 months, however, the annual decline of the 10-City and 20-City composites did not set a new record.
The 10-City and 20-City Composites recorded annual declines of 18.8% and 18.6%, respectively. This is a slight improvement from their returns reported for January, where they fell by 19.4% and 19.0%, respectively.
“While the declines in residential real estate continued into February, we witnessed some deceleration in the rate of decline in some of the markets,” says David M. Blitzer, Chairman of the Index Committee at Standard & Poor’s. “All 20 metro areas recorded a monthly decline in February, but 16 of the 20 metro areas saw an improvement in their monthly returns compared to January. Nine of the 20 metro areas showed improvement in their annual returns compared to their returns in January. Furthermore, this is the first month since October 2007 where the 10- and 20-City Composites did not post a record annual decline. We will certainly need a few more months of data before we can determine if home prices are finally turning around.”
As of February 2009, average home prices across the United States are at similar levels to where they were in the third quarter of 2003. From the peak in mid 2006, the 10-City Composite is down 31.6% and the 20-City Composite is down 30.7%.
All 20 metro areas reported negative monthly and annual rates of change in average home prices in February. In January’s report, seven metro areas and the 20-City Composite posted record monthly declines. In February, Cleveland was the only metro area having a record monthly decline, returning -5.0%. Cleveland, Charlotte, New York and Washington were the only MSA’s showing larger declines in home prices in February compared to January’s report.
In terms of annual declines, the three worst performing cities continue to be from the Sunbelt, each reporting negative returns in excess of 30%. Phoenix was down 35.2%, Las Vegas declined 31.7% and San Francisco fell 31.0%. Dallas, Denver and Boston faired the best in terms of annual declines, down 4.5%, 5.7% and 7.2%, respectively. Dallas also had the distinction of being the best performer for the month, returning -0.3%.
Looking at the data from peak-thru-February 2009, Dallas has suffered the least, down 11.1% from its peak in June 2007; while Phoenix is down 50.8% from its peak in June of 2006. The rates of decline from the respective peak of each market are evidence of how much each market has given back from the gains earned in the past 10-15 years. All of the 20 metro areas are in double digit declines from their peaks, with ten of the MSA’s posting declines of greater than 30% and seven of those - Detroit, Las Vegas, Los Angeles, Miami, Phoenix, San Francisco and San Diego - in excess of 40%.
If you would like to buy or sell Wilmington, NC real estate, contact Sandy and Steve Thornton for all your home buying and selling needs. Specializing in Wilmington, Leland, Hampstead, Sneads Ferry, Jacksonville, Topsail Island including Surf City, Topsail Beach, North Topsail Beach, Beach and waterfront properties covering New Hanover County, Pender County, Brunswick County and Onslow County areas.
Thursday, 23 April 2009
RISMEDIA, April 18, 2009-New home sales, traffic and expectations all lifted meaningfully in March. Findings that support this news are detailed in the John Burns Real Estate Consulting April survey of builders across the country. According to the survey, while the improvement can be partially attributed to seasonality, we can also point to a shift in builders’ optimism in many metros. The rating of future sales improved substantially, and expectations rose in every single region except the Northwest.
This month, 233 public and private builder executive representatives from over 160 companies around the country provided market ratings that represent conditions at 1,984 new home communities in 82 unique metros.
“We think the improvement is attributable primarily to improved affordability,” said John Burns, CEO of Irvine, Calif.-based John Burns Real Estate Consulting. “The new home tax credit in California is also helping.”
“Earlier in the year, the gains in traffic and sales were mostly limited to builders at the affordable end, but in April we began to see some gains for move-up builders as well,” said Jody Kahn, vice president. “This trend is still spotty, and limited to a handful of markets, including Raleigh, Atlanta and Nashville.”
Results also showed that builders in a handful of locations have recently purchased land, and that more plan to purchase in the near-term. “We know from prior housing downturns that the resetting of land prices is an important step in the process of clearing the market,” said Kahn.
Survey Highlights:
Land Buying is Increasing: Already this year, 18% of survey participants have purchased land and 29% indicate they will buy land in 2Q09. By 2010, 47% expect to be buying.
Builders are targeting Washington D.C., Charlotte, Dallas and Tampa for near-term land buys. There was a pronounced message that buying would not be occurring in Phoenix, Atlanta, Austin, Chicago, Denver, Las Vegas, Orlando and Orange County for quite some time. There were mixed messages in California markets of Riverside-San Bernardino, San Diego and Sacramento.
Recent buying appears to have been predominantly among private builders. Of purchases made this year, 35% were by public home builders.
Sales, Traffic and Expectations Jump: The builders’ rating of current sales reached a record level since our survey’s inception, traffic ticked up in every region but one, and expectations climbed as builders’ outlook appears to be brightening. No region of the country reported declining net sales per community. Average net sales per community rose to 1.7, which is the highest level since September.
Builders Start More Homes: 70% of builders started homes this month, compared to only 59% last month.
Pricing Net of Incentives Inches Toward Flattening: Overall, the direction of new home pricing moved closer to flat, but regions like Southern California report decreasing prices over last month.
Inventory Declining: The average number of unsold, finished units per community is continuing to trend down nationally, to 4.0 units from 4.2 last month. This is the lowest number we have seen in more than six months.
If you would like to buy or sell Wilmington, NC real estate, contact Sandy and Steve Thornton for all your home buying and selling needs. Specializing in Wilmington, Leland, Hampstead, Sneads Ferry, Jacksonville, Topsail Island including Surf City, Topsail Beach, North Topsail Beach, Beach and waterfront properties covering New Hanover County, Pender County, Brunswick County and Onslow County areas.
Thursday, 16 April 2009
Housing market around Wilmington looking up
Published: Wednesday, April 15, 2009 at 11:34 a.m.
Last Modified: Wednesday, April 15, 2009 at 11:34 a.m.
The government stimulus may be starting to show up in the Wilmington area’s home sales.
Local real estate leaders aren’t ready yet to say that the outlook is sunny, but there may be light at the end of the long, dark housing tunnel.
Sales contracts signed in recent weeks have soared, according to real estate agencies here. And a big factor in that is the government’s $8,000 tax credit for first-time home buyers, Realtors and lenders say.
“We saw a 35 percent increase in contracts in March from February,” said Tim Milam, president of Coldwell Banker Sea Coast Realty. In the past two weeks, the agency’s clients have signed contracts on $36 million worth of homes, he added.
“We’re seeing high volume in contracts for homes at $300,000 and below,” Milam said this week, attributing much of that to first-time buyers. “They are really getting off the fence.”
At Intracoastal Realty, contracts signed have been up 65 percent in each of the past two weeks over the average signed in the preceding 13 weeks, said Jim Wallace, the agency’s president.
Wallace sees several factors behind what he calls an uptick in the market. One is that first-home buyers have to close on their purchases by Dec. 1 to receive the $8,000 tax credit. Another is that families with children tend to buy in the spring or summer so they are moved in before school starts in the fall. Finally, mortgage interest rates are at historic lows.
That final factor has heated up the mortgage business, brokers here say. Not only have they spurred a jump in refinancings, but a big chunk of the business is for purchases as well.
At Alpha Mortgage in Wilmington, the number of loans in March was up more than 90 percent from March 2008 and the dollar amount they represent rose 67.2 percent compared with a year earlier, said broker Chris Hutchens.
“Much of the increase is purchase-related and not just refis,” Hutchens said, adding that he did five purchases Monday out of six loans.
The contracts signed may point to some relief for struggling home builders.
Sea Coast represents several new developments, and Milam says about 20 percent of the latest contracts are for new-construction homes.
All this activity, however, has yet to show up in sales figures, because deals don’t count until they are closed – that is, signed, sealed and delivered and deeds transferred. It’s usually about 45 days from when a person signs a contract to buy a home until he or she gets the keys, Realtors and lenders say.
So, it will be April and May before any uptick in the market here shows up on the record.
Closed home sales here rose in March from the month before, but were still down from March 2008, according to data from the Wilmington Regional Association of Realtors.
Sales rose to 335 in March from 250 in February in the area covered by the WRAR – essentially New Hanover and Pender counties and the northern part of Brunswick. But they were still down from the 409 that closed in March 2008. Contracts for those homes would have been signed in January and February.
The prices of sold houses continued to decline from year-earlier levels, according to the Realtors’ data. The median price of homes sold in March – that is the price at which half of homes sold for more and half for less – was $175,683 compared with $201,000 in March 2008. The average price fell to $218,130 from $236,996.
Prices are on homes closed in March and do not necessarily reflect the general market value of area property.
Though first-time home buyers are big players in the local market, they are not the only force at work.
“One of the gains we’re seeing is a lot more sales in the upper end now,” said Intracoastal’s Wallace. “It was very slow the first couple of months this year,” he said, but now he’s seeing sales of homes from $500,000 to $1.8 million. “It’s not just the starter homes” that are selling.
That said, the inventory of homes for sale is still high. A check of houses for sale this week found more than 140 on the market in Landfall, for instance, though the overall number of listings by all Realtors here has dropped from last year.
Experts see a drop in listings – and by extension, inventory – as a positive sign. The market cannot stabilize until much of that inventory is sold.
Part of that inventory are homes that have been foreclosed on. About 20 percent to 25 percent of Coldwell Banker Sea Coast’s recent activity has been foreclosures, Milam said.
Foreclosures are likely to continue, however, as the recession – which was late to hit here – takes its toll. Area unemployment has risen in one year from about 5 percent to nearly 11 percent.
“Consumer confidence is improving,” however, said Milam. “Rates are low and housing prices have declined about 20 percent in a couple of years.
“I think it’s bottomed out.”
Wayne Faulkner: 343-2329
If you would like to buy or sell Wilmington, NC real estate, contact Sandy and Steve Thornton for all your home buying and selling needs. Specializing in Wilmington, Leland, Hampstead, Sneads Ferry, Jacksonville, Topsail Island including Surf City, Topsail Beach, North Topsail Beach, Beach and waterfront properties covering New Hanover County, Pender County, Brunswick County and Onslow County areas.
Wednesday, 15 April 2009
Generation Y Bullish on Housing Market
RISMEDIA, April 15, 2009-The first major survey into Generation Y’s perception of the U.S. housing crisis reveals a surprisingly strong sense of optimism about the future, despite cautious near-term sentiment. While the housing industry is readying for this wave of future homeowners (approximately 80 million strong), there is little data on what this influential buying group actually wants in their next home or how the current downturn has affected their future plans.
According to the national survey conducted by The Concord Group:
-50% say they are likely to purchase a home within the next three years
-50% say tax credits or lower interest rates would motivate them to purchase a residence sooner
-70% believe home prices will be higher or at today’s levels in two years
-62% say wealth creation is a very big advantage of real estate ownership
Although economic conditions factor strongly in their decision-making process, survey respondents say that lower home prices and/or a raise at work would be the top motivations for buying a home sooner than planned.
“Generation Y is going to have more impact on the national housing market than any group since the early Baby Boomers. We wanted to better understand their preferences and expectations especially as they will have such an impact on our future,” said Emma Tyaransen, principal of The Concord Group, a national real estate advisory firm.
The majority of respondents to The Concord Group’s survey say they are:
-Willing to pay a premium to live closer to their job
-Seeking out a larger space for their next residence
-Interested in living near alternative modes of transportation
-Likely to put down less than 20% on their next residential purchase
-Planning to eventually abandon the cities for a life in the suburbs
“What’s so interesting about this data is that it supports our prediction that transit-oriented development will command a premium in the near future. It also proves that suburban development will continue to play an important role in the housing market that emerges from the downturn,” said Tyaransen.
For more information, visit www.theconcordgroup.com.
If you would like to buy or sell Wilmington, NC real estate, contact Sandy and Steve Thornton for all your home buying and selling needs. Specializing in Wilmington, Leland, Hampstead, Sneads Ferry, Jacksonville, Topsail Island including Surf City, Topsail Beach, North Topsail Beach, Beach and waterfront properties covering New Hanover County, Pender County, Brunswick County and Onslow County areas.
Tuesday, 14 April 2009
By Karen Schaefer
RISMEDIA, April 14, 2009-What is the first thing that you always want your potential buyers to see when they first walk into your home that is for sale? Kitchen? Bathroom? Multi-Level Deck? The correct answer is “themselves.” One of the best staging techniques is the use of mirrors, although most people don’t know how to effectively use them. The first place that you should have a mirror is directly on the wall in front of someone when they open and walk through the front door.
I love having a small mirror right there with a little key hook next to it, holding the house keys. Just above or below the mirror, I do a stencil that says very simply “Welcome Home.”
What if you don’t have a wall that is facing the front door, hence, no place to hang your mirror? The next best area in which to hang a mirror is in a location where the person entering the home will first walk. One of the most important things to remember is that while staging your home, you are creating the flow at which you want visitors to move through the home.
If you are doing an open house event, you can even hang a mirror in the center of a wreath with a small “welcome home” sign suspended from the wreath. You can also put a small mirror just above the doorbell with a stencil that says: “Just use your key” and tie a small key on a ribbon and fix it to the mirror. These are great ways to get people to fall in love with your home before they ever even come through the front door.
My next favorite place to put a mirror is in the bathroom. Of course, you will have one above the vanity or lining the wall above the sinks, but have you thought about putting a small mirror in the bathtub or shower?
A mirror can always be used to expand the size of a room or make a narrow room look wider. Don’t be afraid to have mirrored closet doors in the right environment, or do a mirrored wall. What you don’t want are mirrored tiles.
A great look is large wardrobe mirrors, fixed to a wall centered, top to bottom. Space them about 2-4 mirror widths apart and paint a “frame” around each one. Now you have added a great decorative and interesting element to the room, while still giving it the benefit of “expansion.”
Lastly, I love a wall of mirrors. Not the panel mirrors that we have been talking about, but rather, all different shapes and sizes, framed, etched, big, small, round, square…you get the idea.
The key to success to creating a wall of mirrors is balance. You have to make sure that you end up with a sense of flow and even distribution. You can couple wood frames with frameless, round with square and etched glass with metal accents. If you have something heavy, then put something light next to it, and try to keep the same shapes from being next to one another and feel free to keep the entire wall neutral or add one or two really bold splashes of color with frames. All neutral works well for an elegant look, but to modernize the scene, throw in one or two bright colors like orange, red or yellow.
However you decide to use mirrors while staging your home, make sure that you use them effectively so that you get the greatest impact.
Karen Schaefer is the Founder of Simple Appeal, Inc. and APSDTM, The Association of Property Scene Designers. She is widely recognized as the Premier Staging Designer for Investment Properties in the Country. For more information, visit www.SimpleAppeal.com.
If you would like to buy or sell Wilmington, NC real estate, contact Sandy and Steve Thornton for all your home buying and selling needs. Specializing in Wilmington, Leland, Hampstead, Sneads Ferry, Jacksonville, Topsail Island including Surf City, Topsail Beach, North Topsail Beach, Beach and waterfront properties covering New Hanover County, Pender County, Brunswick County and Onslow County areas.
Monday, 13 April 2009
Despite ‘Chicken Littles,’ Real Estate Markets Are Improving
Commentary by James Crumbaugh
RISMEDIA, April 8, 2009-April is now here and we’re all starting to hear positive news, almost daily, about the real estate industry. Don’t get me wrong - the “Chicken Littles” of the world are still out there, telling everyone who will listen that the sky is still falling.
Here at Allison James Estates and Homes, we go strictly by the numbers and the numbers aren’t lying. Our number of sales is up over 25% and our income was up in March over our best month ever by 31%. If the sky is falling, I sure hope it continues to fall at this rate every month.
However, the pundits are still claiming the bottom is still out there, but their case is leaking water. There are areas in the country that are already seeing small price increases, along with much stronger number of sales, and there are a lot of short sale realtors who still claim that the inventory is going to get much worse. If that’s so, I need an explanation as to why the inventory is decreasing in most areas. Sure, sellers are taking their properties off the market, but so what? Sellers have always taken their properties off the market unless they could get what they wanted. There is nothing new or revolutionary in this strategy.
The bottom line is there was an overreaction to the inflationary increases in real estate over the period between 2000 to 2006. As a result, real estate in most areas is now undervalued and the consumer has taken notice. One of the things I’ve noticed over the last month, is the number of end-use buyers is now as strong as the investors. This is a very good sign, as it shows that the pent up demand that we have all talked about for the past couple of years is starting to kick in.
On another note, the real estate brokerage business has been stood on its head due to the last three years. Everyone knew the old brick and mortar model was unsustainable with today’s realtors demanding and getting 80% plus. Then you have the 100% companies struggling because they made the mistake of trying to combine the brick and mortar concept with the 100% concept.
What surprises me is that Allison James Estates and Homes is still the only business model of its kind. We have eliminated the brick and mortar and allow our Realtors to work virtually from their home offices while keeping 100% of their commission. This is a simple business model, and I have nothing to hide with it.
It’s not rocket science, I’m just surprised no one has copied us. We all know that a lot of brokers are challenged in this area, and at Allison James Estates and Homes, we work as a team to keep our brokers at the top of the industry.
All in all, we are 14 months old, we are profitable, we’re having fun and we’re growing at a steady clip of 20% + per month. Chicken Littles take notice.
James A. Crumbaugh III is CEO of Allison James Estates & Homes.
For more information, email jcrumbaugh@AllisonJamesInc.com.
If you would like to buy or sell Wilmington, NC real estate, contact Sandy and Steve Thornton for all your home buying and selling needs. Specializing in Wilmington, Leland, Hampstead, Sneads Ferry, Jacksonville, Topsail Island including Surf City, Topsail Beach, North Topsail Beach, Beach and waterfront properties covering New Hanover County, Pender County, Brunswick County and Onslow County areas.
Saturday, 11 April 2009
With Affordability Up, Home Buyers Return to the Market
RISMEDIA, April 11, 2009-Thanks to record low mortgage rates and declining home prices, 55 million families - or half of all U.S. households - can afford today’s $200,000 median-priced new home, according to figures released by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB). “That’s an increase of 17 million households from conditions just two years ago and the best housing affordability number we have seen in years,” said NAHB Chairman Joe Robson, a home builder from Tulsa, Okla. “We are now seeing the first signs that buyers are returning to the marketplace.”
Based on data from the U.S. Census Bureau comparing home prices, mortgage rates and minimum income needed to purchase a median-priced home in February 2007 and February 2009, a typical family today can purchase a house with $20,000 less in household income and save nearly $500 per month on their principal, interest, taxes and insurance. The number of households that can afford to purchase a home today is 55.4 million, compared with 38.4 million two years ago, according to figures compiled by NAHB.
“With affordability up dramatically, reports from our builders in the field indicate that foot traffic in new homes is on the rise and consumer interest is increasing with each passing day. These are encouraging signs that the housing market may be finally reaching a bottom,” said Robson.
Entering the crucial spring home buying season, there are other signs that buyers are starting to return to the market.
Single-family permits were up 11% in February 2009, new and existing home sales also posted gains and the huge inventory backlog is being slowly whittled down. In a survey for Century 21 Real Estate last month among prospective first-time home buyers who indicated they were likely to purchase a home in the next two years, a majority - 78% - said that now is a good time to buy a home. Of those responding to the online poll, 68% said that now is a better time to buy than six months ago.
Another sign that consumers are considering jumping back into the housing market is the growing interest in the $8,000 first-time home buyer tax credit included in the recently enacted economic stimulus package. During February and March 2009, 1.5 million visitors logged on to NAHB’s consumer website, www.federalhousingtaxcredit.com, to learn more about the tax credit. Further, a new survey commissioned by Move, Inc. found that nearly 20% of those who plan to purchase a home this year are doing so to take advantage of the tax credit, which expires at the end of November.
“With home values in many markets at the lowest level since 2003, an $8,000 tax credit available to first-time home buyers, fixed-rate mortgages under 5%, and an outstanding selection of homes to choose from, buyers are starting to recognize that this has the makings for a one-time opportunity to break into the market,” said Robson.
Housing is a critical component of the U.S. economy, accounting for about 15 cents of every dollar spent in this country, so any upturn in the housing market should be viewed as good news for the overall economy, said Robson.
Construction of an additional 500,000 single-family homes - the difference between today’s anemic construction rate and one that would move closer to meeting the underlying demand for housing - would generate 734,000 jobs and $35 billion in wages in the construction industry and another 790,000 jobs and $37.7 billion wages in manufacturing, trade, and service sector jobs, he noted.
Additionally, another half-million housing starts would bolster the tax base for government, generating $45 billion in federal, state and local tax revenues. And the benefits go well beyond the completion of each home. Within the first year after buying a home, those half million households will spend about $2.5 billion more on appliances, furnishings and property alterations.
“Clearly, housing will be central to any economic recovery we experience in the months ahead,” said Robson.
For more information, visit www.nahb.com.
If you would like to buy or sell Wilmington, NC real estate, contact Sandy and Steve Thornton for all your home buying and selling needs. Specializing in Wilmington, Leland, Hampstead, Sneads Ferry, Jacksonville, Topsail Island including Surf City, Topsail Beach, North Topsail Beach, Beach and waterfront properties covering New Hanover County, Pender County, Brunswick County and Onslow County areas.
Friday, 10 April 2009
Wilmington ranked No. 13 on list of best for business
By David Reynolds
Staff Writer
Published: Sunday, March 29, 2009 at 8:56 p.m.
Last Modified: Sunday, March 29, 2009 at 8:56 p.m.
Thirteen may be an unlucky number for some, but not in Wilmington this week.
Forbes magazine has ranked this area No. 13 on its annual list of best cities for business and careers.
Several area business officials said the selection, which comes at a time when businesses across the country are cutting back, is probably a reflection of Wilmington’s quality of life, which remains high even in times of economic gloom.
“We do have some things that Mother Nature has blessed us with,” said Todd Sammons, chief financial officer of Cooperative Bank. That Wilmington is a popular destination for both tourists and retirees has been a boon to business in the past and will be again, he said. “This is something we should take pride in and be happy about.”
Wilmington was one of six cities in North Carolina that Forbes ranked in the top 20. The list considers 11 factors including past and projected job growth, as well as cost of living, crime rate and the education level of a city’s work-force.
Raleigh topped the list for the third year in a row. Durham came in at third, and Asheville ranked sixth. Winston-Salem and Charlotte ranked 18th and 19th respectively.
Connie Majure-Rhett, CEO of the Greater Wilmington Chamber of Commerce, said she considers the ranking a sign that Wilmington is better positioned for a comeback after the recession than many other cities.
“Our whole picture going forward is pretty positive,” she said, adding that Wilmington and North Carolina traditionally rank high on lists that consider quality of life and ease of doing business.
Better than some
The 2009 list is the Forbes 11th annual ranking of business-friendly cities. The magazine ranked the 200 largest metro areas based on job growth statistics from the past five years as well as projected job growth through 2011.
The Forbes’ magazine article says even though the country has lost 4.4 million jobs since December 2007, some cities still have a lot to offer businesses.
William Hall, senior economist for UNCW’s Center for Business and Economic Services, said when choosing a location, businesses consider cost of living, wage levels, tax rates and the skills of the workforce, among other things.
That Wilmington scores high in trouble times, Hall said, shows this list is based on past and projected-future statistics and it indicates that rankings are relative to other cities.
It does not mean Wilmington has escaped the recession unscathed, Hall said.
The city’s 9 percent unemployment rate is at a 25-year high. Also, the region has a stockpile of houses that need to come off the market before economic growth returns, Hall said.
One asset that will help Wilmington in the long run is that it continues to gain population, a leading factor in economic growth.
Hall said it is surprising that so many cities in North Carolina topped the list, since the state has the fourth highest unemployment rate in the nation.
Sammons, of Cooperative Bank, said Wilmington may be braving the recession better than some cities because of its broad spectrum of industry -- everything from film and health-care to energy and tourism, he said.
“Everything doesn’t go up and down at the same time,” he said, “which will help during the bad times.”
Majure-Rhett said having UNCW and Cape Fear Community College helps ensure a well-trained workforce.
One thing that should help is Wilmington’s pleasant climate and access to beaches – assets the business community has long relied on to help bring people.
“I think the number one reason is our quality of life,” said April McDavid, president of the Wilmington Regional Association of Realtors. “You want to live in a place where you can raise a family and be happy.”
David Reynolds: 343-2075
dave.reynolds@starnewsonline.com
If you would like to buy or sell Wilmington, NC real estate, contact Sandy and Steve Thornton for all your home buying and selling needs. Specializing in Wilmington, Leland, Hampstead, Sneads Ferry, Jacksonville, Topsail Island including Surf City, Topsail Beach, North Topsail Beach, Beach and waterfront properties covering New Hanover County, Pender County, Brunswick County and Onslow County areas.
Thursday, 09 April 2009
A recent study was just released by the FEDERAL HOUSING FINANCE AGENCY (FHFA) detailing the property value trends across the country titled "Record Home Price Declines in Fourth Quarter; Isolated Pockets of Strength". We all know the reality that our market has been slow and values have dropped but this study offers some very positive news for our region and helps put our market into the national perspective. I have been saying for a while that we are fortunate to be working and living in this market due to it's attractive geographic location and economic potential. We should feel the up-tick before the majority of the country due to this. I think the numbers help support this.
This study is thru the end of 2008. Here are some of the general findings:
Purchase-only Index:
1. Prices fell over the last four quarters in 44 states and Washington, D.C.
2. Four-quarter price declines exceeded five percent in 22 states and were in excess
of 10 percent in eight states.
3. All nine Census Divisions experienced price declines in the latest quarter. Prices
were weakest in the Pacific Census Division, which experienced a 7.1 percent
seasonally-adjusted price decline in the quarter and the West South Central
Division was strongest, with a seasonally-adjusted decline of 0.9 percent.
Here is what is positive to recognize here:
The NC market may have lost on an average of 3.66% in value of the past year but the US in general lost 8.27%. We are still ahead by 21+% for a 5 year period verses 12+5 across the US. This ranks us in the top half of the nation on a yearly loss basis but if ranked by the 5 year we would be at 19! What's important to note is that the majority of states that are above us and have lower losses are predominantly A) rural in nature thus having had lower appreciation (demand) over the past years and B) generally not considered as competitors for the burgeoning retirement and second home markets a lot of our real estate caters too. Of the more densely populated states that out rank us, they are located in northern climates; not many generally want to retire or relocate to a colder climate!
If you would like to buy or sell Wilmington, NC real estate, contact Sandy and Steve Thornton for all your home buying and selling needs. Specializing in Wilmington, Leland, Hampstead, Sneads Ferry, Jacksonville, Topsail Island including Surf City, Topsail Beach, North Topsail Beach, Beach and waterfront properties covering New Hanover County, Pender County, Brunswick County and Onslow County areas.
Tuesday, 07 April 2009
By Amy Hoak
RISMEDIA, January 30, 2009-(MCT)-These days, a bigger home isn’t always a better one: Recent research suggests that homes being built today are getting smaller.
The average size of homes started in the third quarter of 2008 was 2,438 square feet, down from 2,629 square feet in the second quarter, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. Similarly, the median size of homes started in the third quarter was 2,090, down from 2,291. The statistics confirm what the housing industry has suspected for a while.
“We’ve been hearing for a long time ‘Why is the home size not declining?’” said Gopal Ahluwalia, vice president of economic research for the National Association of Home Builders. He spoke about the trend at the International Builders’ Show, held in Las Vegas last week. Anecdotally, he had heard smaller homes were being built as housing prices tumbled and the economy began to weaken. Still, “we never had data to back it up,” he said.
Gayle Butler, editor-in-chief of Better Homes and Gardens, said for many homeowners, it is not so much a matter of downsizing as “right-sizing,” giving up big homes with unused space and buying a home that better fits their needs.
“Either by necessity or choice, they’re willing to take a step back from the McMansions,” she said at the Builders’ Show. In fact, according to a survey conducted by the magazine, 32% of participants said they expected their new home to be either somewhat smaller or much smaller than the one they already live in, she said. The magazine’s online study involved 733 potential new-home buyers.
Builders are responding to those consumer desires. According to the National Association of Home Builders, 88% of builders surveyed in January said they are building or planning to build a larger share of smaller homes. Eighty-nine percent said they’re planning on building more lower-priced models.
As homes get smaller, homeowners are looking to economize the space they do have. Butler says she is seeing more interest in “Wii-sized spaces”-family rooms that are flexible enough to accommodate a variety of activities, from video games to fitness systems. Outdoor spaces aren’t being wasted either, and outdoor kitchens and entertaining areas continue to rise in popularity, she said.
According to the Better Homes and Gardens study, top priorities in a new home include an affordable price, natural light and comfortable family gathering places. The era of super-sizing may be ending, Butler said, with buyers looking for a home that is “right-sized, organized and economized.”
Other consumer housing trends include:
- Fewer luxuries. Consumers say they need fewer luxuries in their next home, Butler said. Twenty percent or more of the participants in the survey viewed upgraded landscaping, upgraded finishes such as granite countertops, and luxurious master suites as less important in their next home, she said. High ceilings in main living areas were less important to 35% of those surveyed. There are also fewer fireplaces in new homes: While 62% of new homes completed in 1991 had at least one fireplace in it, 51% had a fireplace in 2007, according to Census statistics.
- Green elements. Ninety percent of those who participated in the Better Homes and Gardens survey said they’re planning to have energy-efficient heating and cooling systems in their next home and 31% plan to have geo-thermal heat, Butler said. There has also been increased interest in home gardens, with more people wanting to know where their food is grown, said Robin Avni, senior director and consumer strategist for the firm Iconoculture, a cultural trend research firm. “The green theme touches everything in the home, from the food we look to consume, our health concerns in the home, building-even our furnishings in the home,” Avni said.
- Getting organized. With smaller spaces, organization systems are continuing their popularity. More entryways are being outfitted for storage, and homeowners often want more functional use of wall space, Butler said. Sixty-nine percent of those surveyed by the magazine said no-space-wasted design and ample storage will take on more importance in their next home.
- Practical appliances. Although sales of appliances have been down, freezer sales have been up. The reason: More people are shopping for bargains and freezing what they won’t use right away. “Appliance sales have taken a hit … except the freezer. Which is really all about going back to basics, a very practical kind of living,” Avni said. “If you look at your parents and your grandparents, they used to have a freezer-they used to buy stuff on sale and put it in the freezer and use it for later. It wasn’t just run out and buy something that day.”
© 2009, MarketWatch.com Inc.
Distributed by McClatchy-Tribune Information Services.
If you would like to buy or sell Wilmington, NC real estate, contact Sandy and Steve Thornton for all your home buying and selling needs. Specializing in Wilmington, Leland, Hampstead, Sneads Ferry, Jacksonville, Topsail Island including Surf City, Topsail Beach, North Topsail Beach, Beach and waterfront properties covering New Hanover County, Pender County, Brunswick County and Onslow County areas.
Monday, 06 April 2009
By Christine Karpinski
RISMEDIA, April 4, 2009-You’d love to buy a vacation home, but (let’s be honest) the recession and the not-so-dim memory of the housing bubble have you a bit skittish. If only you could see what the future holds. But since a reliable crystal ball has yet to be invented, you must resort to less mystical indicators.
According to Christine Karpinski, the National Association of Realtors® (NAR) 2009 Investment and Vacation Home Buyers Survey suggests that the iron is sizzling hot-and if you’re going to strike, the time is now.
“A few years ago when prices were escalating rapidly, people were kicking themselves for not having bought earlier when real estate was far more reasonable,” notes Karpinski, director of Owner Community for HomeAway.com and author of How to Rent Vacation Properties by Owner, 2nd Edition: The Complete Guide to Buy, Manage, Furnish, Rent, Maintain and Advertise Your Vacation Rental Investment. “Well, in 2012 or so, people will look back on 2009 as another missed opportunity.”
While all home sales were down significantly in 2008 (as one would expect)-and vacation property sales were down some 30%-so were real estate prices. That, of course, makes for an extremely favorable buyer’s market. It’s not surprising at all, therefore, that the NAR report found that 80% of vacation property and investment property owners surveyed believe that now is a great time to purchase real estate.
These sentiments echo those of Walter Molony, spokesman for NAR, who said in a recent CNBC article that the second home market is “fundamentally healthy.”
“The long-term underlying demand is favorable for vacation homes because of the large number of middle-age, middle income Americans [who are the primary buyers of such properties],” Molony was quoted as saying. “In recent years, this market has been driven by the Baby Boomers, but there are two even larger population groups coming up right behind them. Those younger segments will continue to fuel this market for the next 10 years.”
Karpinski says the NAR 2009 survey results, in conjunction with a proprietary Special Report done for HomeAway, constitute clear evidence that now is an ideal time to buy a vacation home.
She offers the following insights:
- Home prices are way, way down. The National Association of Realtors survey showed that the median sales price of the typical vacation home was $150,000-down 23.1% from 2007’s median price of $195,000. (To put this in perspective, consider that when NAR started conducting this survey, the median vacation home price in 2003 was $190,000 and reached a high in 2004 of $204,100.) When combined with the rock bottom interest rates, says Karpinski, all signs point to the likelihood that we’re now at the picture perfect time to buy.
“Anecdotally, I can tell you that people who would never have purchased a detached single home on the coast are now seriously considering it,” she notes. “Homes that would have once cost $3 million have now fallen to $1.5 million. And these buyers know that the price won’t stay down long, and will never be this low again.”
- It’s never been more obvious that real estate is a sound long-term investment. The NAR survey results revealed that the share of speculator sales is down from 29% to 16%. Combined with the fact that 34% of buyers are purchasing properties within 100 miles or less of their primary residence-which suggests they intend to use it themselves-this trend indicates that more and more people are embracing a “buy and hold” strategy. Plus, Karpinski says she constantly sees evidence that people are beginning to see the long-term benefits of real estate investing earlier in life. (The median age of vacation property buyers in 2008 was a relatively young 47.)
- The vacation home rental market is booming. While 89% of vacation property owners surveyed cited “to use for vacations or as a family retreat” as a reason for purchasing their second place answer is telling, indeed. Twenty-seven percent of respondents said they were purchasing their home “to rent to others.” While this number is up from the 25% cited in last year’s survey, Karpinski predicts next year’s survey will really tell the tale. As recession-crunched homeowners pursue new income streams-and as it becomes ever more evident that the vacation rental market is booming-2009 will prove to be a huge turning point in the renting out of second homes.
- People are more in touch with “rental realities” than they once were. In the past, says Karpinski, a first-time vacation homeowner might have expected to rent out their property an unrealistic number of weeks (say, 50 weeks out of the year). But NAR’s Special Report for HomeAway shows that 44% of respondents said they plan to rent anywhere between 9-26 weeks.
- Renting by owner has become mainstream. The NAR Special Report for HomeAway reveals that 54% of respondents plan to market their homes themselves. This do-it-yourself attitude reflects not only a burgeoning confidence index among vacation property owners, but also the wealth of support resources available to those who want to rent out their homes themselves.
Everything has changed. The truth is it’s gotten so easy and so affordable that there’s no valid reason not to do it yourself.” Need one more reason to take the plunge? Consider the fact that last month Fannie Mae rescinded its four-property limit for investors. If you’re financially secure and can come up with the requisite 20% down, chances are good you’re going to easily qualify for a mortgage.
“Of course there are always risks when buying any kind of real estate,” Karpinski acknowledges. “But investors who are comfortable with risk have to realize that conditions are ripe right now for a ‘perfect storm’ of success. Even if housing prices do go lower, interest rates surely will not. And once the turnaround comes, selection won’t be nearly as good as it is right now.
“Naturally, you should be cautious and do your homework before you buy any property-but don’t be so cautious that you miss this window of opportunity,” Karpinski adds. “These windows do have a way of slamming shut, and you don’t want to be stuck on the other side wistfully looking in a few years down the road.”
Christine Karpinski is the author of How to Rent Vacation Properties by Owner, 2nd Edition: The Complete Guide to Buy, Manage, Furnish, Rent, Maintain and Advertise Your Vacation Rental Investment andProfit from Your Vacation Home Dream: The Complete Guide to a Savvy Financial and Emotional Investment.
If you would like to buy or sell Wilmington, NC real estate, contact Sandy and Steve Thornton for all your home buying and selling needs. Specializing in Wilmington, Leland, Hampstead, Sneads Ferry, Jacksonville, Topsail Island including Surf City, Topsail Beach, North Topsail Beach, Beach and waterfront properties covering New Hanover County, Pender County, Brunswick County and Onslow County areas.
Sunday, 05 April 2009
Mortgage Rates Hit All-Time Record-Breaking Low
RISMEDIA, April 4, 2009-Freddie Mac released the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey® (PMMS®) in which the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 4.78% with an average 0.7 point for the week ending April 2, 2009, down from last week’s average of 4.85%. Last year at this time, the 30-year FRM averaged 5.88%. The 30-year FRM has not been lower in the life of Freddie Mac’s weekly survey, which dates back to 1971 for the 30-year FRM.
The 15-year FRM was also down this week, averaging 4.52% with an average 0.7 point, down from last week when it averaged 4.58%. A year ago at this time, the 15-year FRM averaged 5.42% and has never been lower in the life of Freddie Mac’s weekly survey, which dates back to 1991 for the 15-year FRM.
Five-year Treasury-indexed hybrid adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) averaged 4.92% this week, with an average 0.7 point, down from last week when it averaged 4.96%. A year ago, the 5-year ARM averaged 5.59%. The 5-year ARM has never been lower in the life of Freddie Mac’s weekly survey, which dates back to 2005 for the 5-year ARM.
One-year Treasury-indexed ARMs averaged 4.75% this week with an average 0.6 point, down from last week when it averaged 4.85%. At this time last year, the 1-year ARM averaged 5.19% and has not been lower since the week ending September 29, 2005, when it averaged 4.68%.
“Mortgage rates followed other interest rates lower this week amid reports of slower economic growth” said Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac vice president and chief economist. “The final estimate of economic growth in the fourth quarter was revised lower and personal incomes fell 0.2% in February, below the market consensus.
“On a positive note, pending existing home sales rose 2.1% in February, marking the second increase in three months as potential homebuyers are taking advantage of historically low mortgage rates and falling home prices. Serving as a spur to sales, housing affordability reached an all-time high in February 2009 since the series’ inception in 1971, according to the National Association of Realtors®. By region, sales surged by nearly a third in the Northeast and Midwest, but fell in the West.”
If you would like to buy or sell Wilmington, NC real estate, contact Sandy and Steve Thornton for all your home buying and selling needs. Specializing in Wilmington, Leland, Hampstead, Sneads Ferry, Jacksonville, Topsail Island including Surf City, Topsail Beach, North Topsail Beach, Beach and waterfront properties covering New Hanover County, Pender County, Brunswick County and Onslow County areas.

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Century 21 Sweyer & Associates
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Hampstead, NC 28443
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